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Learn MoreGood Thursday Morning, MPTraders! April 24, 2025-- Pre-Market Update: For today's trading, potentially directional POTUS Tariff Headlines and the Technical Setup! -- President Trump is scheduled to speak between 12 and 1 PM ET, elevating headline risks... -- From a technical perspective, the most salient feature of today's market action will be the juxtaposition of ES versus its 20 DMA. Yesterday, ES climbed as much as 60 points and 1.4% above the 20 DMA, but managed to CLOSE 20 points below the 20 DMA, which preserved the dominant nearer-term downtrend (see my attached Daily ES Chart).
With the market just barely holding the pivot on the SPX chart, it did break below it in the overnight session in the futures. So, it did put into question whether the market intended to head directly higher in the red count. This far, I have to still keep that as the primary count. It would take a break down below yesterday’s low to suggest otherwise.For now, I would like to see the market rally to the target box for wave v of 3.
I want to share an introduction to advanced Fibonacci time and price analysis and explain why it has been such a critical tool in my own trading journey. Over the years, I’ve found it invaluable for identifying potential turning points in the market, allowing me to define my risk clearly and fine-tune the timing of my entries and exits. Rather than relying solely on indicators or guesswork, I measure prior swings in price and project key Fibonacci ratios forward, so I can look for clusters of support or resistance where price might stall or reverse.
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