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Mike Paulenoff

This AM's Spotlight: HD, July Crude Oil & SPY

Good Tuesday Morning, MPTraders!  May 19, 2026: What's on my mind this morning (besides appreciating that I was NOT called for Jury Duty for today!):-- Two trading sessions until Wednesday eve's NVDA Earnings Report...-- The NVDA Earnings reaction (Jensen making the rounds on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business) on Thursday will take the markets into Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve swearing-in ceremony on Friday afternoon... -- Home Depot Earnings are a big nothingburger for investors this AM, which keeps the stock under pressure and in its bear phase (see below)...

Market Still Over Support

Over the long weekend, the market continued to push higher in a very sloppy pattern but managed to push to new highs. This is making the green count the more likely path at this point in time. With that said, I am still leaving the white count on the table for the time being. However, from a practical standpoint, it does not make too much of a difference other than how much higher this can extend.

Is COIN Headed Below $100?

In the April episode of my Coinbase series, I asked the question of whether the February lows will hold. I expected them to hold until circle-B is completed, and so far they have. However, despite an attempt to reach my B wave target between $230 and $300, this month’s rally failed at $222. On one hand, the failed rally confirms that COIN remains locked in a major correction that may ultimately take it as low as $59. However, it also opens the question as to whether circle-B has already completed, and COIN is ready to drop below $100.

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