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Good Monday Morning, MPTraders! June 8, 2026-- Pre-Market Update: -- The weekend breach of the Israel-Iran ceasefire by both parties puts geopolitics back on the front burner this AM. That said, the financial markets did not react violently (down in Equities or acutely up in Crude Oil), which suggests that for the time being, neither Israel nor Iran has decided to resume all-out war.
Today the market traded lower as we moved into the lower end of the resistance zone for the move up off of the May 19th low. That move lower is still only a three-wave structure and is trading well above even the upper smaller-degree support levels. So until we see a break of that support zone and/or see a full five-wave move down off the highs, we still do not have any indication that we have put in even a local top just yet.
With the futures dropping to within 25 points of the .236 retracement and the top of our target/support box on the 5-minute SPX chart, we seem to have completed our (a) wave decline. That likely means that we are now within the (b) wave bounce.Normally, we expect the a-wave within the (b) wave to bounce back to the .382-.500 retracement of the prior (a) wave decline, followed by a b-wave pullback, thereafter leading to a c-wave rally towards the .618 retracement of the (a) wave decline to complete the (b) wave bounce. And, thus far, the market seems to be complying.
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