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Mike Paulenoff

This AM's Spotlight: HD, July Crude Oil & SPY

Good Tuesday Morning, MPTraders!  May 19, 2026: What's on my mind this morning (besides appreciating that I was NOT called for Jury Duty for today!):-- Two trading sessions until Wednesday eve's NVDA Earnings Report...-- The NVDA Earnings reaction (Jensen making the rounds on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox Business) on Thursday will take the markets into Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve swearing-in ceremony on Friday afternoon... -- Home Depot Earnings are a big nothingburger for investors this AM, which keeps the stock under pressure and in its bear phase (see below)...

A "Royal" Fibonacci Trade Setup In DIA

Earlier this week we had a nice "royal setup" in Dow Diamonds (DIA). We saw a healthy pullback in this name and saw support anywhere from 490.24-492.56. The actual low was made at 492.49 which was directly within this cluster. It triggered for a swing trade on both the 15 and 30 min charts with the 8/34 ema crossover, and today (Friday) we've already met target 2. We saw a rally of $15.40 from the low. If we do continue higher, target 3 is 517.81. With 2 targets met very quickly though we are ratcheting up stops now.

Five Up For The U.S. Dollar?

This week, the DXY continued to push higher and gave us what can be counted as five up off of the 97.46 low. With that move, I am now leaning toward a bottom being in place for the wave 2, which has been laid out in white on the charts. So as long as we can hold the low at the 97.43 low, I would expect to see higher levels in the weeks ahead. Smaller-Degree StructureWith what I can count as five up off of the 97.

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