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Mike Paulenoff

The Reaction to CAVA Earnings Established a Significant Intermediate-Term Low

Last Tuesday afternoon, hours before CAVA (Cava Group) was scheduled to report Earnings, this is what I posted for MPTrader members:CAVA reports Earnings after today's close. Approaching the news, CAVA is circling 61, a full 40% beneath its April 2026 high at 98.79, amid an unconfirmed new corrective low at 60.21 yesterday (8/10/26), leaving CAVA positioned for a "buy-the-news" setup (the opposite of a sell-the-news setup in a name that is up 30% to 40% approaching Earnings).

Hecla’s Best Quarter Met Cooling Sentiment

Hecla’s Best Quarter Met Cooling SentimentOn August 4, Hecla Mining (HL) reported the best financial position in its nearly 135-year history. The company retired $263 million of senior notes and ended the quarter effectively debt free. They hold $483 million in cash and still have an undrawn $225 million credit facility available to them. Free cash flow more than doubled year over year to $136 million. And cash flow from continuing operations was up 61% to $175 million. The list continues.Lucky Friday set a quarterly silver production record at 1.5 million ounces. Revenue came in at $334 million, up 52% from the quarter a year ago.

Getting A Bit Too Big

While I have been calling this pullback a wave (4) within wave v of (iii) (or c of (b) in the alternative count), the current pullback is getting to be a bit big for this wave (4). Yet, please recognize that it does not invalidate as a wave (4) until we break below the low of wave (2). So, for now, I am still leaving my count as this being a wave (4).But, that means we are going to need to see a rally begin rather soon or this runs the risk of invalidation.

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